Tormenta pasada
Baja remanente Polo
El NHC emitió su aviso final para Polo. El gráfico oficial final, la trayectoria interactiva, la animación de viento basada en datos de NOAA y los avisos oficiales recientes se conservan a continuación.
Clasificación máxima alcanzada: huracán categoría 5sep 20–30, 2026
Aviso de Polo actualizado:
Datos clave
- Tipo
- Baja remanente
- Viento máximo
- 55 km/h
- Presión mínima
- 996 mb
- Movimiento
- NE 37 km/h
- Centro a BCS
- 535 km
- Centro al continente
- 0 km
- Tipo
- Baja remanente
- Viento máximo
- 55 km/h
- Presión mínima
- 996 mb
- Movimiento
- NE 37 km/h
- Centro a BCS
- 535 km
- Centro al continente
- 0 km
La distancia en la trayectoria entre posiciones reportadas es estimada. La distancia al centro no indica hasta dónde pueden llegar sus vientos y lluvias.
Trayectoria histórica
Fuentes del mapa: trayectoria y cono del NHCviento NOAA GFS. Visualización de BajaStorms.
Gráficos oficiales
Cronología de avisos
Aviso #38
Resumen en inglés
Polo dissipates over northwestern Mexico.
Texto oficial del aviso del NHC
...POLO DISSIPATES OVER NORTHWESTERN MEXICO... As of 8:00 PM MST Tue Sep 29 the center of Polo was located near 30.5, -108.0 with movement NE at 23 mph. The minimum central pressure was 996 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Fuente: NOAA / NHC
Aviso #37A
Polo se debilita rápidamente sobre el noroeste de México. Las lluvias intensas continúan.
Traducción automática no oficial
ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BOLETÍN Aviso intermedio Número 37A de la Tormenta Tropical Polo NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172026 500 PM MST Tue Sep 29 2026 ...POLO SE ESTÁ DEBILITANDO RÁPIDAMENTE SOBRE EL NOROESTE DE MÉXICO... ...LAS LLUVIAS INTENSAS CONTINÚAN... RESUMEN DE LAS 500 PM MST...0000 UTC...INFORMACIÓN ---------------------------------------------- UBICACIÓN...30.0N 108.5W A UNAS 200 MI...320 KM AL NE DE GUAYMAS MÉXICO VIENTOS MÁXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM/H MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NE O 40 GRADOS A 21 MPH...33 KM/H PRESIÓN CENTRAL MÍNIMA...996 MB...29.41 PULGADAS VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS -------------------- No hay vigilancias ni avisos costeros en efecto. Las personas interesadas en el noroeste de México, el sur de Nuevo México y el extremo occidental de Texas deben continuar monitoreando la evolución de Polo. Para información sobre la tormenta específica para su área, por favor supervise los productos emitidos por su servicio meteorológico nacional. DISCUSIÓN Y PERSPECTIVA ---------------------- A las 500 PM MST (0000 UTC), el centro de la Tormenta Tropical Polo se localizaba cerca de la latitud 30.0 Norte, longitud 108.5 Oeste. Polo se está moviendo hacia el noreste a cerca de 21 mph (33 km/h) y se espera que este movimiento continúe esta noche. Los vientos máximos sostenidos han disminuido a cerca de 45 mph (75 km/h) con rachas más fuertes. Se espera que Polo se disipe en las próximas varias horas. Los vientos con fuerza de tormenta tropical se extienden hacia afuera hasta 60 millas (95 km) desde el centro. La presión central mínima estimada es de 996 mb (29.41 pulgadas). PELIGROS QUE AFECTAN TIERRA ---------------------- Los mensajes clave para Polo pueden encontrarse en la Discusión de Ciclón Tropical debajo del encabezado AWIPS MIATCDEP2 y el encabezado WMO WTPZ42 KNHC. VIENTO: Las condiciones de tormenta tropical, especialmente en rachas, aún están ocurriendo tierra adentro sobre el noroeste de México. Hay un Aviso de Viento en efecto para porciones del sur de Nuevo México y el extremo occidental de Texas, donde son posibles rachas fuertes y ventosas a últimas horas de hoy y esta noche en asociación con los remanentes de Polo. Consulte los productos emitidos por su Oficina Local de Pronóstico del National Weather Service para información adicional. PRECIPITACIÓN: Se espera que Polo produzca acumulados de lluvia de 4 a 6 pulgadas en las porciones sur y central de Sonora, con acumulados máximos aislados de 8 pulgadas. Esta lluvia puede producir inundaciones y deslaves potencialmente mortales, especialmente en áreas de terreno escarpado. Para una representación completa de la lluvia pronosticada asociada con Polo, consulte el Gráfico de Lluvia Total de la Tormenta del National Weather Service disponible en hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf SIGUIENTE AVISO ------------- Siguiente aviso completo a las 800 PM MST. $$ Pronosticador Cangialosi NNNN
Texto oficial del aviso del NHC
ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Polo Intermediate Advisory Number 37A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172026 500 PM MST Tue Sep 29 2026 ...POLO RAPIDLY WEAKENING OVER NORTHWESTERN MEXICO... ...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE... SUMMARY OF 500 PM MST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.0N 108.5W ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM NE OF GUAYMAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in northwestern Mexico, southern New Mexico, and far western Texas should continue to monitor the progress of Polo. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM MST (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Polo was located near latitude 30.0 North, longitude 108.5 West. Polo is moving toward the northeast near 21 mph (33 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue tonight. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Polo is expected to dissipate within the next several hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.41 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Polo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP2 and WMO header WTPZ42 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions, especially in gusts, are still occurring well inland over northwestern Mexico. A Wind Advisory is in effect for portions of southern New Mexico and far western Texas where strong gusty winds are possible late today and tonight in association with Polo’s remnants. Refer to products issued by your local National Weather Service Forecast Office for additional information. RAINFALL: Polo is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 6 inches across southern and central portions of Sonora with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Polo, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM MST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi NNNN
Fuente: NOAA / NHC
Aviso #37
Resumen en inglés
Polo weakens to a tropical storm as it moves farther inland.
Texto oficial del aviso del NHC
ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL CCA TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Polo Advisory Number 37...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172026 200 PM MST Tue Sep 29 2026 Corrected the Next Advisory section ...POLO WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND... ...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS SPREADING ACROSS NORTHWESTERN MEXICO TOWARD SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR WESTERN TEXAS... SUMMARY OF 200 PM MST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.0N 109.7W ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM NE OF GUAYMAS MEXICO ABOUT 230 MI...375 KM NNE OF LORETO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has discontinued all coastal warnings and watches. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in northwestern Mexico, southern New Mexico, and far western Texas should continue to monitor the progress of Polo. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM MST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Polo was located near latitude 29.0 North, longitude 109.7 West. Polo is moving toward the northeast near 21 mph (33 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue with an additional increase in forward speed through tonight. On the forecast track, the center of Polo will cross northwestern Mexico this afternoon and evening before dissipating. The remnants of Polo should continue quickly northeastward, passing over southern New Mexico and far western Texas late tonight or early Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid weakening is expected as the center of Polo moves farther inland, and the surface circulation is expected to dissipate tonight. However, the remnants of Polo are likely bring gusty winds to portions of southern New Mexico and far western Texas late tonight and early Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.30 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Polo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP2 and WMO header WTPZ42 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are spreading across northwestern Mexico near the center of Polo and will continue spread northeastward tonight. A Wind Advisory is in effect for portions of southern New Mexico and far western Texas where strong gusty winds are possible late today and tonight in association with Polo’s remnants. Refer to products issued by your local National Weather Service Forecast Office for additional information. RAINFALL: Polo is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 6 inches across southern and central portions of Sonora with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Polo, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf SURF: Swells generated by Polo will continue to affect portions of the coast of the Baja California peninsula and northwestern Mexico during the next day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf, rip currents, and coastal flooding. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 500 PM MST. Next complete advisory at 800 PM MST. $$ Forecaster Beven NNNN
Fuente: NOAA / NHC
Aviso #36A
Resumen en inglés
Polo makes landfall a little east of guaymas Mexico.
Texto oficial del aviso del NHC
ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Hurricane Polo Intermediate Advisory Number 36A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172026 1100 AM MST Tue Sep 29 2026 ...POLO MAKES LANDFALL A LITTLE EAST OF GUAYMAS MEXICO... ...HIGH WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM MST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.0N 110.6W ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM E OF GUAYMAS MEXICO ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM NNE OF LORETO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Government of Mexico has discontinued all warnings for the east coast of Baja California Sur. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Mainland Mexico from Bahia Kino to Huatabampito A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Mainland Mexico south of Huatabampito to Topolobampo A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Mainland Mexico south of Huatabampito to Topolobampo A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case in the next few hours A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case in the next several hours. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Interests in the remainder of Sonora and northern Sinaloa should monitor the progress of Polo. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM MST (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Polo was located just inland over the Mexican state of Sonora near latitude 28.0 North, longitude 110.6 West. Polo is moving toward the northeast near 17 mph (28 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue with an increase in forward speed today. On the forecast track, will move farther inland over the southern portion of the state of Sonora this afternoon. Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid weakening is expected as the center of Polo moves farther inland. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km). The Mexican Navy weather station in Guaymas recently reported sustained winds of 44 mph (72 kn/h) and a wind gust of 56 mph (90 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 984 mb (29.06 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Polo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP2 and WMO header WTPZ42 KNHC. WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in the warning area and possible in the watch area for a few more hours. Hurricane and tropical storm conditions are expected over northwestern Mexico near the center of Polo this afternoon. A Wind Advisory is in effect for portions of southern New Mexico and far western Texas where strong gusty winds are possible late today and tonight in association with Polo’s remnants. Refer to products issued by your local National Weather Service Forecast Office for additional information. RAINFALL: Polo is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 6 inches across southern and central portions of Sonora with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches. An additional 1 to 2 inches of rainfall is expected across Baja California Sur. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Polo, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf SURGE: A storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. SURF: Swells generated by Polo will continue to affect portions of the coast of the Baja California peninsula and northwestern Mexico during the next day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf, rip currents, and coastal flooding. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM MST. $$ Forecaster Beven NNNN
Fuente: NOAA / NHC
Aviso #36
Resumen en inglés
Polo about to make landfall near guaymas Mexico. Conditions deteriorating in the landfall area.
Texto oficial del aviso del NHC
ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Hurricane Polo Advisory Number 36 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172026 800 AM MST Tue Sep 29 2026 ...POLO ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR GUAYMAS MEXICO... ...CONDITIONS DETERIORATING IN THE LANDFALL AREA... SUMMARY OF 800 AM MST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.8N 110.9W ABOUT 15 MI...20 KM S OF GUAYMAS MEXICO ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM NNE OF LORETO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Government of Mexico has discontinued all warnings for the west coast of Baja California Sur. The Government of Mexico has changed the Hurricane Warning to a Tropical Storm Warning for the east coast of Baja California Sur from Loreto to Santa Rosalia, and has discontinued all other watches and warnings on the east coast of Baja California Sur. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Mainland Mexico from Bahia Kino to Huatabampito A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Mainland Mexico south of Huatabampito to Topolobampo A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * East coast of Baja California Sur from Loreto to Santa Rosalia * Mainland Mexico south of Huatabampito to Topolobampo A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case in the next few hours A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case in the next several hours. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Interests in the remainder of Sonora and northern Sinaloa should monitor the progress of Polo. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM MST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Polo was located near latitude 27.8 North, longitude 110.9 West. Polo is moving toward the northeast near 17 mph (28 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue with an increase in forward speed today. On the forecast track, the core of Polo will move inland over southern Sonora near Guaymas during the next few hours and cross portions of northwestern Mexico this afternoon. Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected before landfall. Rapid weakening is expected after landfall as the center crosses northwestern Mexico. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km). The Mexican Navy automated station in Guaymas recently reported a wind gust of 52 mph (84 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 981 mb (28.97 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Polo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP2 and WMO header WTPZ42 KNHC. WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in the warning area and possible in the watch area during the next few hours. Hurricane and tropical storm conditions are expected over northwestern Mexico near the center of Polo this afternoon. A Wind Advisory is in effect for portions of southern New Mexico and far western Texas where strong gusty winds are possible late today and tonight in association with Polo’s remnants. Refer to products issued by your local National Weather Service Forecast Office for additional information. RAINFALL: Polo is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 6 inches across southern and central portions of Sonora with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches. An additional 1 to 2 inches of rainfall is expected across Baja California Sur. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Polo, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf SURGE: A storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. SURF: Swells generated by Polo will continue to affect portions of the coast of the Baja California peninsula and northwestern Mexico during the next day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf, rip currents, and coastal flooding. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 1100 AM MST. Next complete advisory at 200 PM MST. $$ Forecaster Beven NNNN
Fuente: NOAA / NHC