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Past storm

Final NHC advisory

Remnant Low Simon

NHC issued its final advisory for Simon. The final official forecast graphic, interactive track, wind animation based on NOAA data, and recent official advisories are preserved below.

Highest classification reached: Category 4 HurricaneOct 7–16, 2026

Simon advisory updated:

Source: NOAA / National Hurricane Center (NHC)

Key Facts

Type
Remnant Low
Max sustained wind
35 mph
Min pressure
1006 mb
Movement
NW 13 mph
Storm center to BCS
98 mi
Center to Mainland
261 mi

Track distance between reported center positions is estimated. Center distance does not show how far winds and rain can reach.

Historical Track

SimonRemnant LowMax wind35 mph

Map sources: NHC storm track and coneNOAA GFS wind. Visualization by BajaStorms.

Official Graphics

Official National Hurricane Center final forecast cone and track for Simon.
Official NHC forecast cone and track (final advisory).NHC ↗
Interactive GuidanceOct 16, 11:00 AM GMT-7
15°N20°N25°N30°N35°N125°W120°W115°W110°W105°W100°W
Tap a button to compare possible storm paths.Models offer different views of the storm’s future path.
Up to 5 days ahead.NOAA/NHC ATCF A-deck ↗

Advisory Timeline

  1. Advisory #38

    Simon dissipates. This is the final NHC advisory.

    Official NHC advisory text
    ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL
    TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
     
    BULLETIN
    Remnants Of Simon Advisory Number  38
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP202026
    200 PM MST Fri Oct 16 2026
     
    ...SIMON DISSIPATES...
    ...THIS IS THE FINAL NHC ADVISORY...
     
     
    SUMMARY OF 200 PM MST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...21.5N 110.3W
    ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM SSW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
    ABOUT 305 MI...495 KM WNW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
     
     
    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
     
     
    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 200 PM MST (2100 UTC), the remnants of Simon were located near 
    latitude 21.5 North, longitude 110.3 West. The remnants are moving 
    toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h).
     
    Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) 
    with higher gusts.
     
    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).
     
     
    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for the remnants of Simon can be found in the Tropical 
    Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5 and WMO header 
    WTPZ45 KNHC and on the web at 
    hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?key_messages.
     
    SURF: Swells generated by the remnants of Simon could affect
    portions of the coast of west-central Mexico and Baja California Sur
    during the next day or so. These swells are likely to cause
    life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
    products from your local weather office.
     
     
    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane 
    Center on this system. For additional information on the remnants of 
    Simon please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather 
    Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN01 KWBC, and 
    on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php
    
     
    $$
    Forecaster Adams
     
    NNNN

    Source: NOAA / NHC

  2. Advisory #37

    Simon is moving northwestward off the coast of southern Baja California.

    Weakening is expected, and Simon is forecast to become a post-tropical remnant low on Saturday.

    Official NHC advisory text
    ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL
    TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
     
    BULLETIN
    Tropical Storm Simon Advisory Number  37
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP202026
    800 AM MST Fri Oct 16 2026
     
    ...SIMON MOVING NORTHWESTWARD OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN BAJA
    CALIFORNIA...
     
     
    SUMMARY OF 800 AM MST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...20.6N 109.5W
    ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM S OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
    ABOUT 245 MI...395 KM W OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
     
     
    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
     
    Interests in Baja California Sur should continue to monitor Simon.
     
     
    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 800 AM MST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Simon was 
    located near latitude 20.6 North, longitude 109.5 West. Simon is 
    moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this general 
    motion is expected to prevail through the weekend.
     
    Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher  
    gusts. Weakening is expected, and Simon is forecast to become a 
    post-tropical remnant low on Saturday.
     
    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km)
    from the center.
     
    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).
     
     
    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for Simon can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
    Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5 and WMO header WTPZ45 KNHC
    and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?key_messages.
     
    SURF: Swells generated by Simon could affect portions of the coast
    of west-central Mexico and Baja California Sur during the next day
    or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and
    rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local
    weather office.
     
     
    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 200 PM MST.
     
    $$
    Forecaster Adams
     
    NNNN

    Source: NOAA / NHC

  3. Advisory #36

    Simon continues to weaken while moving northwestward. It is expected to become a remnant low within the next day or so.

    Official NHC advisory text
    ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL
    TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
     
    BULLETIN
    Tropical Storm Simon Advisory Number  36
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP202026
    200 AM MST Fri Oct 16 2026
     
    ...SIMON CONTINUES TO WEAKEN WHILE MOVING NORTHWESTWARD...
    ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR SO...
     
     
    SUMMARY OF 200 AM MST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...20.0N 108.8W
    ABOUT 210 MI...340 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
    ABOUT 205 MI...325 KM W OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
     
     
    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
     
    Interests in Baja California Sur should continue to monitor Simon.
     
     
    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 200 AM MST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Simon was
    located near latitude 20.0 North, longitude 108.8 West. Simon is
    moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this general
    motion is expected to prevail through the weekend.
     
    Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
    Continued weakening is expected, and Simon is forecast to become a
    post-tropical remnant low in a day or so.
     
    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km)
    from the center.
     
    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).
     
     
    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for Simon can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
    Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5 and WMO header WTPZ45 KNHC
    and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?key_messages.
     
    RAINFALL: Through early Saturday, Simon is expected to produce
    rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 3
    inches over portions of the state of Baja California Sur.
     
    For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Simon,
    please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic
    available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?rainqpf.
     
    SURF: Swells generated by Simon could affect portions of the coast
    of west-central Mexico and Baja California Sur during the next day
    or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and
    rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local
    weather office.
     
     
    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 800 AM MST.
     
    $$
    Forecaster Pierce/Reinhart
     
    NNNN

    Source: NOAA / NHC

  4. Advisory #35

    Small Simon is weakening offshore of west-central Mexico. It is expected to become a remnant low in a day or so.

    Official NHC advisory text
    ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL
    TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
     
    BULLETIN
    Tropical Storm Simon Advisory Number  35
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP202026
    800 PM MST Thu Oct 15 2026
     
    ...SMALL SIMON WEAKENING OFFSHORE OF WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO...
    ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW IN A DAY OR SO...
     
     
    SUMMARY OF 800 PM MST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...19.5N 108.5W
    ABOUT 250 MI...405 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
    ABOUT 190 MI...310 KM WSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
     
     
    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
     
    Interests in Baja California Sur should continue to monitor Simon.
     
     
    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 800 PM MST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Simon was 
    located near latitude 19.5 North, longitude 108.5 West. Simon is 
    moving toward the northwest near 2 mph (4 km/h). A faster 
    northwestward motion is forecast to begin by Friday and continue 
    through the weekend.
     
    Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) 
    with higher gusts. Continued weakening is expected, and Simon is 
    forecast to become a post-tropical remnant low in a day or so.
     
    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
    from the center.
     
    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).
     
     
    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for Simon can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
    Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5 and WMO header WTPZ45 KNHC
    and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?key_messages.
     
    RAINFALL: Through early Saturday, Simon is expected to produce
    rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 3
    inches over portions of the state of Baja California Sur.
     
    For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Simon,
    please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic
    available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?rainqpf.
     
    SURF: Swells generated by Simon could affect portions of the coast
    of west-central Mexico and Baja California Sur during the next day
    or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and
    rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local
    weather office.
     
     
    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 200 AM MST.
     
    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi
     
    NNNN

    Source: NOAA / NHC

  5. Advisory #34

    Small Simon is slowly weakening as it drifts northwestward. It is now forecast to become a remnant low in a couple of days.

    Official NHC advisory text
    ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL
    TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
     
    BULLETIN
    Tropical Storm Simon Advisory Number  34
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP202026
    200 PM MST Thu Oct 15 2026
     
    ...SMALL SIMON SLOWLY WEAKENING AS IT DRIFTS NORTHWESTWARD...
    ...NOW FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW IN A COUPLE OF DAYS...
     
     
    SUMMARY OF 200 PM MST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...19.3N 108.2W
    ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
    ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM WSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 1 MPH...2 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES
     
     
    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
     
    Interests in Baja California Sur should continue to monitor Simon.
     
     
    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 200 PM MST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Simon was 
    located near latitude 19.3 North, longitude 108.2 West. Simon is 
    moving toward the northwest near 1 mph (2 km/h). A faster 
    northwestward motion is forecast to begin by Friday and continue 
    through the weekend.
     
    Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with 
    higher gusts. Gradual weakening is expected during the next few 
    days, and Simon is forecast to become a post-tropical remnant low by 
    this weekend.
     
    Simon is a small tropical cyclone. Tropical-storm-force winds extend 
    outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center.
     
    The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches).
     
     
    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for Simon can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
    Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5 and WMO header WTPZ45 KNHC
    and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?key_messages.
     
    RAINFALL: Through early Saturday, Simon is expected to produce
    rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 3
    inches over portions of the state of Baja California Sur.
     
    For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Simon,
    please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic
    available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?rainqpf.
     
    SURF: Swells generated by Simon could affect portions of the coast 
    of west-central Mexico and Baja California Sur during the next day 
    or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and 
    rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local 
    weather office.
     
     
    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 800 PM MST.
     
    $$
    Forecaster Papin
     
    NNNN

    Source: NOAA / NHC