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Tropical Storm Vance

No official watch or warning is in effect in the current NHC data.

Tropical Storm Vance has maximum sustained winds of 40 mph and is moving NW at 8 mph.

Vance advisory updated:

Source: NOAA / National Hurricane Center (NHC)

Key Facts

Type
Tropical Storm
Max sustained wind
40 mph
Min pressure
1003 mb
Movement
NW 8 mph
Storm center to BCS
477 mi
Center to Mainland
275 mi

Track distance between reported center positions is estimated. Center distance does not show how far winds and rain can reach.

Vance Storm Tracker

Trop. Depr.Tropical StormHurricaneMajor Hurr.Post Tropical

Map sources: NHC 7-Day OutlookNHC storm track and coneNOAA GFS windNOAA/NESDIS satellite imagery. Visualization by BajaStorms.

NHC Forecast Cone—
Official NHC forecast cone and track for Vance; issue time shown in image
Official NHC forecast.NHC ↗
Interactive GuidanceOct 27, 5:00 AM GMT-7
10°N15°N20°N25°N30°N120°W115°W110°W105°W100°W95°W
Tap a button to compare possible storm paths.Models offer different views of the storm’s future path.
Up to 5 days ahead.NOAA/NHC ATCF A-deck ↗

Advisory Timeline

  1. Advisory #25

    Vance is a poorly organized tropical storm.

    Official NHC advisory text
    ...VANCE IS A POORLY ORGANIZED TROPICAL STORM... As of 8:00 AM MST Tue Oct 27 the center of Vance was located near 16.3, -107.7 with movement NW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

    Source: NOAA / NHC

  2. Advisory #24

    Vance weakens slightly.

    Official NHC advisory text
    ...VANCE WEAKENS SLIGHTLY... As of 2:00 AM MST Tue Oct 27 the center of Vance was located near 15.9, -106.9 with movement NW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.

    Source: NOAA / NHC

  3. Advisory #23

    Vance drifts westward and weakens.

    Official NHC advisory text
    ...VANCE DRIFTS WESTWARD AND WEAKENS... As of 8:00 PM MST Mon Oct 26 the center of Vance was located near 15.5, -106.3 with movement W at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 999 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.

    Source: NOAA / NHC

  4. Advisory #22

    Vance jogs westward and maintains intensity for now.

    Official NHC advisory text
    ...VANCE JOGS WESTWARD AND MAINTAINS INTENSITY FOR NOW... As of 2:00 PM MST Mon Oct 26 the center of Vance was located near 15.4, -106.1 with movement W at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 997 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.

    Source: NOAA / NHC

  5. Advisory #21

    Vance is moving slowly west-northwestward and likely to weaken.

    Official NHC advisory text
    ...VANCE MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND LIKELY TO WEAKEN... As of 9:00 AM CST Mon Oct 26 the center of Vance was located near 15.4, -105.7 with movement WNW at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 997 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.

    Source: NOAA / NHC

  6. Advisory #20

    Vance is moving slowly northwestward and likely to weaken.

    Official NHC advisory text
    ...VANCE MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD AND LIKELY TO WEAKEN... As of 3:00 AM CST Mon Oct 26 the center of Vance was located near 15.3, -105.1 with movement NW at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 995 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.

    Source: NOAA / NHC

  7. Advisory #19

    Vance continues to weaken as the storm moves to the northwest.

    Official NHC advisory text
    ...VANCE CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS THE STORM MOVES TO THE NORTHWEST... As of 9:00 PM CST Sun Oct 25 the center of Vance was located near 15.0, -104.7 with movement NW at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 995 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.

    Source: NOAA / NHC

  8. Advisory #18

    Tropical storm Vance churning off the coast of southwestern Mexico.

    Official NHC advisory text
    ...TROPICAL STORM VANCE CHURNING OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... As of 3:00 PM CST Sun Oct 25 the center of Vance was located near 14.9, -104.2 with movement NNW at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 994 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.

    Source: NOAA / NHC

  9. Advisory #17

    Vance continues to weaken.

    Official NHC advisory text
    ...VANCE CONTINUES TO WEAKEN... As of 9:00 AM CST Sun Oct 25 the center of Vance was located near 14.3, -103.8 with movement NW at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 989 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 75 mph.

    Source: NOAA / NHC

  10. Advisory #16

    Vance weakens slightly.

    Official NHC advisory text
    ...VANCE WEAKENS SLIGHTLY... As of 3:00 AM CST Sun Oct 25 the center of Vance was located near 14.3, -103.4 with movement NNW at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 980 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 85 mph.

    Source: NOAA / NHC